My incoming calls continue to reduce by the day. It is worrying. Are my friends all fine and not sick, I wonder. This afternoon, I decided to call my buddy. This is folk who will call me at least once in two days. As you grow old, true friendships are gold. Man is a social animal. However, #covid19 is re-writing all the rules. Social distancing. Online shopping. Home deliveries. No visitations. It is tough. Below is our conversation: Me: [Symptoms of coronavirus disease are coughing, running nose, sneezing, sore throat, fever, difficulty in breathing and body weakness], this is the…
Covid19 risk assessment and crisis management, part 3
It started like hearsay in Wuhan China. Now it is a global pandemic. Globally, WHO has the most up-to-date information on the #covid19 situation. The latest report can be obtained from here According to the recent report dated 25th March 2020, globally, there are 414 179 confirmed cases, of which 40,712 are new cases recorded on 24th March 2020 and a total of 18,440 deaths, and a total of 2202 death reported on 24th March 2020. The most hit region is Europe, with over 50% of the cases. As the problem increase, there is a need for the establishment of…
Covid19 risk assessment and crisis management, part 2
What is Uganda’s #covid19 risk assessment profile? What are the likely costs to the economy? Which sectors and people are most at risk? What stimulus packages must government provide and what is the timing for such packages to be effective? These and more questions must be answered by the government. The Ministry of Finance and Bank of Uganda must provide economic updates to calm the situation. Already, the United States Dollar is heading the wrong way. As of this writing, 26th March 2020, the Ugx against the dollar is at 3,865, and 3,950 at some foreign exchange bureaus. Keep mind…
Tools of academic giants: home study tips
There are several tools for winning students. However, the following seven tools stand out for me. If you have ever been to Munteme, you know two hills define the village narrative. On the left, is Munteme Fatima College (MUFACO). On the right, is Munteme Technical (TECO). You have a choice of which hill to take. During our time, around the late 1980s and early 1990s, Munteme Technical School, one of the leading vocational institutions in Hoima, and Uganda as a whole was a career game-changer. Anyone who graduated from TECO succeeded. Students had options of taking mechanics, carpentry, masonry to…
Uganda #covid19 case trajectory: it looks bad already….
Based on the current #coronavirus cases reported, Uganda could register about 2204 #covid19 cases by 20th April 2020, if more drastic measures are not implemented. Our projection is based on the current controls in place and assumes an average growth rate of cases if the government does not intervene more aggressively by implementing further restrictive measures especially catching up with the people who were infected and moved out of the quarantine. Uganda will have more than 2204 cases by end of April 2020Our analysis is based on the data government is sharing with the public through the Ministry of Health,…
Risk analysis in the era of #covid19
The world is on a test: who long does it take to stop a pandemic? After how many victims? No one loves to see the statics of victims. History will judge the leaders of this generation harshly if people continue to die from this pandemic. Already, delays in board closures exposed the world significantly due to the greed and capitalist nature of our economies. A viral infection is very deadly. Just one patient could infect the whole country if not immediately identified, isolated and managed. Many economies are under lockdown. It is a tough balancing act. Each day of lockdown…
